Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-06 1.340686 1.534895 1.748063 1.999519 2.288205 2.609472 2.994421
2025-07-13 1.098500 1.360312 1.671324 2.068513 2.563080 3.159697 3.935754
2025-07-20 0.938853 1.243889 1.631810 2.162481 2.871573 3.789314 5.072122
2025-07-27 0.805713 1.132983 1.574981 2.217608 3.131867 4.391689 6.269759
2025-08-03 0.696458 1.032800 1.512134 2.248175 3.356069 4.971473 7.524095
2025-08-10 0.585742 0.910908 1.397169 2.181413 3.423353 5.328996 8.503450
2025-08-17 0.488586 0.793155 1.268875 2.071039 3.401349 5.539671 9.277672
2025-08-24 0.430034 0.726577 1.208940 2.056848 3.525107 5.990322 10.499760
2025-08-31 0.376961 0.660862 1.140307 2.016203 3.595004 6.355511 11.623322
2025-09-07 0.353967 0.642927 1.148808 2.107927 3.904909 7.172401 13.668425
2025-09-14 0.327349 0.614589 1.134685 2.155642 4.139214 7.881306 15.613809
2025-09-21 0.296110 0.573388 1.091493 2.142199 4.254275 8.379049 17.217888
2025-09-28 0.257246 0.513544 1.007555 2.042176 4.193247 8.540829 18.199971
2025-10-05 0.243354 0.501017 1.013519 2.122487 4.508472 9.502150 21.013150
2025-10-12 0.232826 0.493886 1.029234 2.225008 4.885041 10.645121 24.409786
2025-10-19 0.219185 0.478373 1.025563 2.285409 5.178806 11.651883 27.664411
2025-10-26 0.204608 0.458876 1.010825 2.319099 5.417138 12.568719 30.858621
2025-11-02 0.183753 0.422689 0.954989 2.251406 5.410566 12.920517 32.736550
2025-11-09 0.162150 0.382008 0.883930 2.138085 5.278102 12.952805 33.812340
2025-11-16 0.149609 0.361013 0.855635 2.123820 5.386718 13.588353 36.557250
2025-11-23 0.136656 0.337405 0.818274 2.082047 5.419812 14.038629 38.881459
2025-11-30 0.132823 0.335795 0.833934 2.176985 5.821558 15.499009 44.240444
2025-12-07 0.126687 0.327591 0.832215 2.226388 6.109062 16.698173 49.063341